TRX Price Prediction: How High Will It Go in 2026?

#TRX

• Bullish Technical Alignment: TRX price holding above its 20-day MA with converging MACD suggests weakening selling pressure and potential for an upward move toward the $0.289-0.31 resistance zone.
• Mixed Market Sentiment: Positive institutional ETF developments are counterbalanced by negative news on security exploits, leading to cautious price action that may delay a significant rally.
• Critical Resistance and Support Levels: A clear break above $0.289 is needed to confirm bullish momentum, with $0.276 serving as a crucial support level to maintain the current uptrend structure.

TRX Price Prediction

TRX Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Building Above Key Moving Average

According to BTCC financial analyst Olivia, TRX is currently trading at $0.2862, showing a slight premium above its 20-day moving average of $0.2825. This positioning above a key short-term trend indicator suggests underlying strength. The MACD histogram, while still negative at -0.001185, shows a clear convergence as the MACD line (-0.003931) is rising toward the signal line (-0.002746). This diminishing bearish momentum often precedes a bullish crossover. Furthermore, the price is trading comfortably within the upper half of the Bollinger Bands, with the upper band at $0.2891 and the lower at $0.2760. A sustained MOVE above the middle band, coupled with the narrowing MACD, indicates a consolidation phase that could resolve to the upside, with an initial test of the $0.289 resistance likely.

Market Sentiment Weighed Down by Security Concerns Despite ETF Momentum

BTCC financial analyst Olivia notes that current crypto market sentiment presents a mixed picture. The delay of Trust Wallet's critical update following a $7 million hack highlights persistent security vulnerabilities in the ecosystem, which can dampen investor confidence and temporarily pressure prices. Conversely, Bitwise's aggressive filing of 11 new crypto ETFs, including altcoin-focused products, signals strong institutional conviction in the long-term regulatory and growth trajectory of the asset class. However, the muted market reaction suggests 'ETF fatigue' may be setting in, where incremental filings no longer provide the same bullish catalyst. For TRX, this environment implies that while fundamental, long-term adoption drivers are strengthening, short-term price action may remain cautious and technically driven until broader market concerns over security are alleviated.

Factors Influencing TRX’s Price

Trust Wallet Delays Critical Update After $7M Hack Exposes Extension Vulnerability

Trust Wallet's Chrome extension update was abruptly postponed on December 24, 2025, after a malicious version (2.68) siphoned $7 million from 2,596 users. The breach exploited a stolen API key and the 'Sha1-Hulud' vulnerability, marking another grim milestone in a year riddled with crypto security failures.

CEO Eowyn Chen confirmed the team prioritized user protection over rollout speed, temporarily withdrawing the compromised extension. Over 2,630 reimbursement claims flooded in—some suspected fraudulent—as the ecosystem grappled with the fallout. Browser extensions remain prime targets for exploits, underscoring the industry's urgent need for fortified security protocols.

Bitwise's 11 New Crypto ETF Filings Fail to Stir Market Amid Growing Fatigue

Bitwise's ambitious filing for 11 single-token crypto ETFs—targeting assets like Aave, Uniswap, and Zcash—landed with a whimper rather than a bang. The funds, slated for a March 2026 launch with 60% direct coin exposure, barely moved crypto prices or capital flows. Market participants now treat ETF announcements as background noise, a stark contrast to 2021-2024 when such filings reliably sparked rallies.

The SEC's September 2025 generic listing standards have accelerated the ETF pipeline, with Grayscale alone pursuing products for Solana, XRP, and Chainlink. Regulatory streamlining has paradoxically diluted the market impact of individual filings. What was once a tradeable catalyst now struggles to cut through the clutter of competing products.

Bitwise Makes Bold Altcoin ETF Push with 11 New Filings

Bitwise Asset Management has escalated the institutional crypto arms race with a December 30 SEC filing for eleven single-asset altcoin ETFs. This marks the most aggressive expansion beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs to date, targeting assets like UNI, TRX, and NEAR that represent DeFi, Layer 1 protocols, and AI networks.

The proposed ETFs would provide direct exposure rather than tracking composite indices—a structural shift signaling maturation in crypto investment products. Bitwise's existing crypto index fund manages $1.2 billion in assets, demonstrating established institutional demand that may now extend to altcoins.

Notable inclusions span market sectors: Aave (DeFi lending), Starknet (Layer 2 scaling), and Bittensor (AI blockchain). The filing arrives as altcoins collectively gained 85% in Q4 2025, outperforming Bitcoin's 52% rise.

How High Will TRX Price Go?

Based on the current technical setup and market sentiment, BTCC financial analyst Olivia provides a measured outlook for TRX. The technical picture is cautiously optimistic, suggesting a breakout above immediate resistance is plausible.

Short-Term Trajectory (Next 1-4 Weeks): The primary hurdle is the Bollinger Band upper limit near $0.289. A decisive daily close above this level, confirmed by a bullish MACD crossover, could open the path toward the next psychological resistance at $0.300 - $0.310.

Key Price Levels to Watch:

Medium-Term Factors: The bullish case is supported by institutional momentum (Bitwise ETF filings), but is tempered by negative sentiment from security incidents (Trust Wallet hack). A climb toward $0.33 is feasible if TRX breaks above $0.31 with strong volume and the broader crypto market shakes off its cautious mood. Conversely, a break below the $0.276 support would invalidate the near-term bullish structure.

In summary, while a move to the $0.30-$0.31 range appears to be the most likely near-term scenario, the ultimate height of TRX's price will depend on its ability to convert technical strength into a sustained breakout, coupled with an improvement in overall market risk appetite.